The Horizon Report 2010 – Four to Five Year Time Horizon (4 of 4)
Wednesday, February 3rd, 2010Four to Five Year Time Horizon
This post is number four of a four-part series on the Horizon Report 2010. To start at the beginning visit the overview.
In its farthest reaching predication, the Report looks to two significant changes in the way that we interact with computers and the data that they produce.

Gesture-Based Computing
First citing the iPhone’s natural gesture based navigation advancements and the Nintendo Wii’s accelerometer-based interactive remotes, the way that we interface with machines is changing. Forty years of keyboard and mouse as the only way to manipulate the computer seems to be dissolving as new technologies appear. Numerous other improvements are in the works, the Microsoft Surface may change the way we interact with a device, from the multitouch interface, to the ability to recognize an input device, like a camera and connect to it wirelessly.
The question that I am left with is: “How does this impact education?”
Opportunities:
The shift that we are observing is already present in many of your classrooms as interactive whiteboards take hold. With the right professional development, teachers can easily realize the potential for these devices far beyond a fancy presentation device, but can harness the Kinesthetic aspect of learning for all students.
Beyond the classrooms of today, imagine a computer that can instruct a student in sign language by “reading” their hand gestures, a flat surface table that children in all grades gravitate to in groups to learn about a wide variety of students, a virtual lab-room tabletop or even a human anatomy program that allows for the virtual dissection of a digital cadaver. With a little bit of imagination the possibilities are endless.
Challenges:
Like usual, money could prove to be a challenge. But, given that the trend appears to be the integration of gesture-based computing as a norm in the way we interface with the machines, the cost could be minimal as we repalce older equipment in our facilities.
Action Steps:
We need to stay aware of the pace of change and new opportunities as they present themselves. This means reading, networking, and attending conferences to see the most cutting edge advancements.
Visual Data Analysis
Aside from changing the way that we interact with the physical hardware, the report looks to a shift in the way that we analyze data. As researchers amass vast amounts of data, the analysis of these data can’t always be comprehended through spreadsheets, summaries and traditional methods. But when the data is aggregated in a way that is more accessible to the human mind. The chart above, created by Wordle summarizes the 2010 State of the Union Address in a way that reveals an interesting perspective on the speech that can only by achieved in this unique way.
Opportunities:
New ways of analyzing data could reach students in new ways. Visual learners especially can benefit from a new perspective on otherwise flat and untenable data. Many of these trends in data analysis are appearing all over the web, from the visual representation of data by Mint.com (Visual Representation of Russia compared to USA) to sites like the above-mentioned Wordle, Gapminder and Flowing Data.
Challenges:
The chellenge here is a professional development one. Teachers accustomed to traditional methods of data visualization may not even know that these tools exist. Train them now so they are ready in five years when this trend peaks!
Action Steps:
Educate Teachers! Now. Before we find ourselves surrounded by this & confused about it.



COMMUNICATION

The gloves officially came off today in my development of my online resources for my German course. It occurred to me that what I was doing was more than just creating online resources that went along with my teaching, but essentially writing a whole new textbook, though in this case an electronic/interactive version of what I think the textbook should look like. This seems appropriate, since our current textbook is from the early 90s, and it shows. Nobody wears clothes like that, or has haircuts like that anymore. Not only that, but the only textbook available in the US seems to be an update of the version we have with very little difference other than a few (but not all) updated pictures. My students are quick enough to display over the top cultural biases, they don’t need any more encouragement. In any case, I stray from the point of this post.